000 AGXX40 KNHC 300743 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 345 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK 1011 MB HIGH PRES OVER WESTERN PORTION OF GULF AT 23N94W MAINTAINS LIGHT TO GENTLE NW BREEZE AND SLIGHT SEA HEIGHTS ACROSS MOST OF GULF. RIDGE DISSIPATES TODAY AND REPLACED BY WESTERN EXTENSION OF ATLC RIDGE BRINGING GENTLE SE TO S BREEZE THROUGH BASIN FOR REMAINDER OF FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISSIPATES OVER YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MINOR IF ANY IMPACT IN GULF WINDS AS HIGH PRES REMAINS IN CONTROL. ONLY GFS SOLUTION BRINGS STRONG SW WINDS INTO STRAITS OF FLORIDA TUE AND WED...OTHER MODELS IGNORE AGATHA. SW N ATLC... LOW PRES CENTER 1008 MB AT 28N58W HAS TROUGH EXTEND SW TO 22N60W THEN TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO. STRONG WINDS ROTATE WITHIN 360 NM IN SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM IN NE QUADRANT AS IT LOW PRES DISSIPATES AND TROUGH MOVES E-NE OUT OF AREA BY WED...IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST GUIDANCE. DIFFERENCE IS MAINLY IN THE TIMING OF THE LOW PRES DISSIPATION AND LOWERING OF WIND AND SEAS. LARGE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINS CONTAINED IN A 10 DEGREES SWATH OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG TROUGH WITH NUMEROUS DEEP CONVECTION NOTED ...BUT NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL ORGANIZATION IS OBSERVED. GFS DEVELOPS ANOTHER LOW PRES ALONG PRESENT CARIBBEAN TROUGH THEN RUN IT N-NE IN SW N ATLC AS HIGH PRES MOVES EASTWARD. FORECAST DOES NOT REFLECT THIS SINCE NO OTHER MODEL FOLLOWS SUIT. TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIBBEAN... MONSOON TROUGH FROM HISPANIOLA TO PANAMA DRIFT E AND EXTEND INTO NORTHERN FRINGES OF TROPICAL ATLC BY END OF FORECAST PERIOD. TROUGH MAINTAIN FLAT PRES GRADIENT CAUSING LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE AND SLIGHT SEAS ACROSS MOST OF BASIN. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE NOW ALONG 65W S OF 11N EDGES NW AND HELP INCREASE WINDS ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA WED AS HIGH PRES RIDGE SLIDES E. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE