000 AGXX40 KNHC 102116 AAA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED FOR SW N ATLC NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK COLD FRONT MOVE OFF TEXAS COAST TONIGHT AND STALL FROM 29N91W TO 25N95W THU. STRONGER FRONT SWEEP OFF TEXAS COAST ON THU...MERGES WITH PREVIOUS ONE AND RUSH SE OUT OF GULF BY EARLY SAT. HIGH PRES RIDGE FORMS ALONG 24N BEHIND FRONT. THIRD COLD FRONT ENTER NW GULF EARLY SAT AND BRUSHES WATERS N OF RIDGE SUN. TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIBBEAN SEA... FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS TROPICAL ATLC WATERS TO SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THEN TO NW VENEZUELA. FRESH BREEZE PREVAILS ACROSS MUCH OF CARIBBEAN WATERS. BROAD HIGH PRES OVER SW N ATLC THROUGH THU MAINTAIN FRESH EASTERLY TRADES ACROSS BASIN...HIGHER ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA. WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH FRI NIGHT WHEN COLD FRONT ENTERS NW CARIBBEAN. FRONT REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO NE HONDURAS SAT NIGHT AND STALL FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO HONDURAS LATE SUN. SW N ATLC...AMENDED HIGH PRES PREVAILS ACROSS SW N ATLANTIC BASIN WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE THROUGHOUT AREA WITH SLIGHT SEAS CAPPED BY LINGERING MODERATE N SWELL S OF 24N. HIGH PRES CENTER SHIFTS E OF AREA THU AND S-SE WINDS INCREASE W OF 75W. MODELS DIFFER ON DEVELOPING LOW PRES CENTER MOVING THROUGH THE SE AND OFF THE SE COAST. GFS/NOGAPS BRING A 1003 MB LOW OFF FLORIDA NE COAST LATE FRI INTO SAT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE WINDS. GALES DEPICTED IN THE GFS MAY BE THE RESULT OF CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK IN THE MODEL. THE HIGH RES UKMET/ECMWF MODELS ARE MUCH FURTHER N WITH THE LOW OVER THE SE CONUS AND THEREFORE DO NOT BRING GALES INTO THE AREA. WILL LEAN TOWARD THESE MODELS FOR NOW. IN ANY EVENT NEXT COLD FRONT ENTER NW WATERS OFF FLORIDA NE COAST SUN BUT SHIFTS NE OUT OF AREA LATE MON. WARNINGS...AMENDED TO REMOVE GALES ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES/COBB