000
AGXX40 KNHC 221817
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 PM EST MON FEB 22 2010

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W

GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO TAMPICO MEXICO 
WILL MOVE RAPIDLY E AND MOVE E OF THE AREA TUE. ANOTHER STRONGER 
FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE TUE NIGHT EXTENDING FROM THE FLORIDA BIG 
BEND TO 25N92W INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 19N95W. GALE 
FORCE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE SW GULF W OF THE FRONT. THE GALE 
WILL CONTINUE INTO WED AND BRIEFLY EXTEND INTO THE SOUTHERN 
PORTION OF THE MIDDLE GULF ZONE. THE WINDS THEN DECREASE RAPIDLY 
ON THU. HIGH PRES BUILDS BEHIND THE FRONT THEN SHIFTS E FRI 
WITH  15-20 KT SLY RETURN FLOW OVER THE NW GULF AHEAD OF THE 
NEXT COLD FRONT. THE GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS DEVELOP A LOW OVER 
THE EASTERN GULF SAT...WITH THE GFS A LITTLE TO THE S AND 
STRONGER. SINCE THIS IS THE LAST DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
WILL HOLD OFF TO SEE IF LATER MODEL RUNS CONTINUE THIS TREND.

WEAK HIGH PRES ACROSS THE ATLC WILL MOVE E AND SLY WINDS 
INCREASE 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA AHEAD OF AN 
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N75W TO 
26N80W TUE...WITH SLY WINDS UP TO 25 KT E OF THE FRONT. THE 
FRONT WEAKENS OVER THE E PORTION OF THE AREA TUE NIGHT AND MOVES 
E OF THE AREA WED...WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. THE NEXT STRONGER 
FRONT MOVES OFF THE SE U.S. COAST WED NIGHT AND EXTENDS FROM 
31N71W TO E  CUBA THU AND OVER THE FAR SE PORTION OF THE AREA ON 
FRI AND E OF THE AREA SAT. STRONG WINDS UP TO 30 KT BOTH AHEAD 
AND BEHIND THE FRONT THU. WINDS DECREASE ON FRI HOWEVER LARGE NW 
SWELLS MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND LINGER INTO FRI AND SUBSIDE 
A LITTLE ON SAT.

DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT IN THE TROPICAL ATLC AND NE 
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N55W 17N70W...WILL BECOME DIFFUSE 
TONIGHT. STRONG TRADES THAT HAD BEEN OVER THE S CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WILL DECREASE TONIGHT AS 
THE ATLC RIDGE MOVES E AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A 
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED AND EXTENDS 
FROM E CUBA TO COSTA RICA THU THEN DISSIPATES OVER THE NE 
CARIBBEAN FRI. NLY WINDS INCREASE TO 25 KT W OF THE FRONT ON THU 
THEN DECREASE ON FRI. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE 
INTO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE CARIBBEAN SAT.

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
.NONE.
 
CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS