000 AGXX40 KNHC 271857 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK TROUGH 27N92W TO 20N93W BRINGS FRESH NE BREEZE ON W SIDE N OF 23N. WIND INCREASE AS PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS WITH TEXAS RIDGE EASTWARD SHIFT. TROUGH DRIFT NE-E TONIGHT THROUGH MON REACHING 26N86W TO 21N88W EARLY MON...THEN DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. HIGH PRES HOLDS IN PLACE OVER GULF INTO TUE SHIFTING E AND WEAKENING AS SECOND TROUGH DEVELOPS JUST OFF COAST OF NE MEXICO. SECOND TROUGH SHIFT N-NE TO JUST OFF TEXAS COAST LATE TUE. MODEL GUIDANCE DEVELOPS WEAK LOW PRES CENTER NEAR 27N95W TUE NIGHT WITH TROUGH EXTENDING TO 22N96W. FEATURES MOVE E ACROSS GULF WATERS WITH LOW PRES CENTER NEAR 29N86W WITH TRAILING TROUGH TO 21N90W WED AND OUT OF BASIN EARLY FRI. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH OVER NW CARIBBEAN FROM 21N86W TO 16N85W DISSIPATES TONIGHT. FLAT PRES GRADIENT REMAINS OVER MOST OF CARIBBEAN WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES...EXCEPT ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA WHERE 20-25 KT NE-E WINDS CONTINUE. PATTERN PERSIST THROUGH MON. PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS MON NIGHT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS DOWN AND TRADES INCREASE A NOTCH THROUGH THU. IN TROPICAL N ATLC...WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 20N55W TO 20N65W WITH FRESH TO STRONG NE-E BREEZE CONTINUING N OF 20N. WINDS PERSIST THROUGH MON WITH FRONT DISSIPATING MON NIGHT. LARGE LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUE TO SPREAD THROUGH TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH FCST PERIOD AND SEEPING THROUGH ATLC PASSAGES INTO E CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED...EVENTUALLY DECAYING TO LESS THAN 8 FT FRI. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... COLD FRONT OFF FLORIDA COAST EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO 25N74W WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SW BREEZE E OF FRONT. FRONT REACH FROM 31N65W TO 20N73W LATE MON AND EXITS THE AREA TUE. HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS EASTERN SEABOARD WED UNTIL LOW PRES CENTER 1014 MB CROSSES N FLORIDA INTO EXTREME NW PART OF BASIN THU WITH ASSOCIATED S-SW WINDS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE JUST E OF CENTER. LOW PRES QUICKLY MOVES NE AWAY FROM SW N ATLC BUT FOLLOWING HIGH PRES 1030 MB FORCES VERY STRONG NORTHERLIES ACROSS ENTIRE BASIN FRI. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES