000 AGXX40 KNHC 050738 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 AM EST SAT DEC 05 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW FL COAST SW TO NW YUCATAN PENINSULA EARLY THIS MORNING. LOW PRES 1011 MB OVER CENTRAL GULF AT 26N86W WITH NEWLY DEVELOPED COLD FRONT SW TO MEXICO COAST AT 19N92W. GALE FORCE WINDS S OF 28N W OF 95W WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT REPORTED EARLIER THIS MORNING. WINDS QUICKLY DIMINISH N OF 25N THIS MORNING BUT LINGER S OF 25N W OF 95W THROUGH EARLY EVENING. NOAA WAVEWATCH MODEL SOLUTION FALLS SHORT ON REPORTED WAVE HEIGHTS SO FORECAST CARRIES HIGHER SEAS AND SUBSIDING SLOWER THAN MODEL. NEW COLD FRONT MERGES WITH STATIONARY FRONT AND FORCES IT OVER FLORIDA AND YUCATAN PASSAGE E OF AREA. HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS BEHIND MERGED FRONTS AND VEER WINDS BY SUN PROMPTING STRONG RETURN FLOW ALONG S TEXAS COAST. NEW LOW PRES AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT FORM OVER TEXAS AND ENTER NW GULF WATER MON BUT IS KEPT ALONG COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE TUE THEN MOVES SE INTO GULF WED REACHING FROM FLORIDA BIG BEND TO TAMPICO MEXICO LATE WED. SW N ATLC... RACING UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE NOW OVER MID GULF KICKS LOW PRES CENTER IN E GULF NE ACROSS FLORIDA FORCING STATIONARY FRONT PRESENTLY FROM 31N72W TO S FLORIDA TO MOVE E QUICKLY WITH RAPID INCREASE IN SW WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE. STRONG NW WINDS W BEHIND FRONT EXPECTED BUILD SEAS 3-4 FT HIGHER THAN NWW3 SOLUTION. LOW PRES FORECAST TO MOVE RAPIDLY N OF AREA TONIGHT WITH LINGERING COLD FRONT MOVING SE THROUGH SUN. FRONT STALL OVER SOUTHEASTERN QUARTER OF BASING AND BECOME DIFFUSE BY MON. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... STRENGTH OF HIGH PRES OVER SW N ATLC AND LOWER PRES OVER SOUTH AMERICA SUPPORTS FRESH TRADES ACROSS ENTIRE BASIN WITH STRONGER WINDS ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. WEAKENED COLD FRONT ACROSS STRAITS OF FLORIDA EVENTUALLY ENTERS NW CARIBBEAN LATE SAT REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO NE HONDURAS SUN BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE TUE AND WED. WARNINGS... ATLC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ080...GALE WARNING S OF 28N. GMZ082...GALE WARNING W OF 95W. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES