000
AGXX40 KNHC 280829
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2009

GULF OF MEXICO...
SURFACE HIGH PRES EXTENDS ALONG 27N ACROSS ENTIRE BASIN WITH A 
WEAK TROUGH OVER FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS.  HIGH PRES MAINTAIN 
GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE BREEZE ACROSS GULF TODAY THEN SHIFT 
S AND WEAKEN.  COLD FRONT MOVE ACROSS SE CONUS TO REACH N 
FLORIDA AND NE GULF WATERS TONIGHT.  FRONT EXTEND FROM CENTRAL 
FLORIDA TO SE TEXAS TUE AND BECOME DIFFUSE OVER GULF WATERS 
WED.  MODERATE N FLOW INCREASE BEHIND FRONT OVER NE GULF TUE AND 
EARLY WED. 

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PERSIST OVER S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHILE   
MODERATE BREEZE HOLDS ON TO THE E HALF OF BASIN AND TROPICAL 
ATLC.  TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN FRESH BREEZE 
OVER GULF ON HONDURAS TODAY BEFORE MOVING OVER LAND IN BELIZE. 
CONDITIONS TO REMAIN WITH LITTLE CHANGE UNTIL THU WHEN ATLC COLD 
FRONT DENTS RIDGE AND FORCES IT TO RETREAT E RELAXING THE PRES 
GRADIENT OVER CARIBBEAN.

SW ATLC WATERS S OF 31N W OF 55W...
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL ATLC NOT EXPECTED TO BE AN 
ISSUE IN SW N ATLC EXCEPT SMALL AREA NEAR NE CORNER...IS ANY AT 
ALL.  S WINDS COULD INCREASE AND BUILD SEAS BUT CONDITIONS WOULD 
BE SHORT LIVED OVER SMALL AREA.  WELL DEFINED SURFACE TROUGH OFF 
FLORIDA E COAST TODAY INCREASE SW WINDS BUT DURATION NOT ENOUGH 
TO REALLY BUILD SEAS SIGNIFICANTLY.  TROUGH WEAKENS AND LIFTS 
OUT ALONG AS FIRST COLD FRONT OF THE FALL SEASON MOVES OF N 
FLORIDA COAST EARLY TUE REACHING FROM 31N67W TO S FLORIDA LATE 
WED AND BECOMES DIFFUSE ACROSS BASIN BY LATE THU ALLOWING RIDGE 
TO BUILD BY FRI.

ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES