000
AGXX40 KNHC 031710
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 PM EDT MON AUG 03 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTAL TROUGHS WILL STALL OVER THE NE WATERS 
THROUGH THU. OTHERWISE A RIDGE WILL MEANDER E TO W OVER THE 
NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SLY RETURN FLOW AT 10 TO 15 
KT OVER THE NW WATERS S OF THE RIDGE AXIS. SLY WINDS OVER THE 
WATERS N OF THE RIDGE AXIS WILL OCCASIONALLY DROP OFF TO LIGHT 
AND VARIABLE. EXPECTING THE NEAR SUNSET BACKING WIND SHIFT TO 
THE N AND NE AT 15 TO 20 KT ALONG THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE 
EACH DAY TILL A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET. THE NORTHERN EXTENSION 
OF A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FL STRAITS TUE AND WED. 

TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIBBEAN SEA...
FRESH ELY TRADES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH 
NE TO E WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KT WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO 30 KT 
POSSIBLE ALONG THE NW COAST COLOMBIA. THE REMAINDER OF CARIBBEAN
SEA TO THE S OF 20N IS EXPERIENCING MOSTLY 15 TO 20 KT WITH NE 
TO E WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE FAR NW WATERS. A TROPICAL 
WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN HAS FRAGMENTED WITH THE NORTHERN 
EXTENSION CURRENTLY NEAR THE MONA PASSAGE AND EXPECTED TO MOVE W 
NW THROUGH THE BAHAMAS WHILE LEAVING THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE 
WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT THIS SOUTHERN PORTION TO 
CONTINUE W AT NEAR 20 KT REACHING ALONG PSN 71W TUE...80W WED 
AND 89W THU. A SECOND WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS EXPECTED TO 
MOVE W AT NEAR 20 KT REACHING ALONG 55W LATE TUE NIGHT...ALONG 
70W THU AND 82W FRI. A THIRD WAVE IN THE EASTERN ATLC WILL 
REACH ALONG 55W FRI AND 62W SAT.
 
SW ATLC W OF 55W...
A NORTHERN EXTENSION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS FRAGMENTED NEAR THE 
MONA PASSAGE AND EXPECTED TO MOVE W NW AS A SURFACE TROUGH 
THROUGH THE SE BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS 
TUE REACHING THE NW BAHAMAS AND SE FLORIDA WED. OTHERWISE...A 
RIDGE DISSECTS THE ATLC WATERS FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FL AND 
EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE TONIGHT AND TUE THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT N 
REACHING ABOUT 29N THU AND FRI. GENERALLY EXPECTING S TO SW 
WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE NW WATERS...AND SE TO S OVER THE 
NE WATERS. E TO SE WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE AREA FROM 27N 
TO 23N. S OF 23N...EXPECTING E WINDS AT 15 TO 20 KT.
  

WARNINGS

ATLC...
.NONE. 

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE. 

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON