000 AGXX40 KNHC 260644 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 245 AM EDT SUN JUL 26 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... UPPER DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM SE LOUISIANA TO NEAR TAMPICO MEXICO AND AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS IS HELPING TO INDUCE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF WATERS SE OF A LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO JUST S OF TAMPICO. THE STRONGEST SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY CAN BE FOUND OVER THE SE PORTION OF THE GULF. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR THE TSTMS. A SURFACE RIDGE FROM THE WESTERN ATLC EXTENDS WWD ACROSS THE GULF REGION PRODUCING IN GENERAL LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS UNDER 3 FT. WINDS OVER THE SW GULF WILL BE GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KT INTO MONDAY...OCCASIONALLY INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT ALONG THE YUCATAN COAST IN THE EVENING...AND WITH THE PASSAGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY. SE RETURN FLOW WILL INCREASE TOWARD MID WEEK AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS OVER WEST TEXAS. CARIBBEAN... AN EARLIER QSCAT PASS SHOWED AN AREA OF 25 TO 30 KT WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF 15N TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. NOAA BUOY 42058 IS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT AND SEA HEIGHTS OF 9 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AND 20 KT WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL WAVE WHICH IS REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH PRES N OF AREA WILL BUILD NEAR BERMUDA THROUGH TUESDAY... ALLOWING TRADE WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INTO MID WEEK. MAXIMUM SEA HEIGHTS OF 13 FT ARE LIKELY ONGOING WITH EAST SWELL NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC TODAY APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT THEN ENTERING INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN MON. ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W... A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE N CENTRAL ATLC TO JUST SOUTH OF BERMUDA...THROUGH THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. WINDS ARE GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KT AROUND THE SURFACE RIDGE... ALTHOUGH 20 KT E FLOW IS NOTED N OF HAITI. AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS IS EXPECTED S OF 22N THROUGH MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRES BUILDS NEAR BERMUDA WITH THE RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 28N/29N. WARNINGS ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. $$ FORECASTER GR