000
AGXX40 KNHC 020608
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
210 AM EDT THU APR 02 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
WEAK WARM FRONT LIFTING N OVER THE NW ZONE ATTM WITH NE-E WINDS 
TO 20 KT N OF THE FRONT. EXPECT WARM FRONT TO MOVE N OF AREA 
JUST AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING WITH WINDS QUICKLY BECOMING SE 
AT 20-25 KT IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT MOVING OFF TX COAST EARLY 
THIS AFTERNOON. BY THEN...SLY FLOW ALREADY OVER S CENTRAL WATERS 
DOWNSTREAM OF YUCATAN CHANNEL WILL SPREAD N OVER THE REMAINDER 
OF THE GULF MOSTLY AT 15-20 KT...BUT INCREASING TO 20-25 KT NE 
WATERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS COLD FRONT REACHES MIDDLE GULF. 
WINDS W OF FRONT AT 20-25 KT OVER THE WATERS N OF 25N. FRONT 
SHOULD ABRUPTLY STALL FROM SW FL TO NE YUCATAN LATE FRI THROUGH 
FRI NIGHT. THEN REMNANTS OF THIS FRONT WILL LIFT N AS WEAK WARM 
FRONT SAT REACHING ALONG 30N LATE SAT NIGHT AS NEXT COLD FRONT 
MOVES OFF TX COAST. THIS NEXT FRONT APPEARS A LITTLE STRONGER 
WITH POST FRONTAL WINDS NW-N 25-30 KT WITH SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF 
MINIMAL GALE FORCE BRIEFLY SW WATERS AROUND SUNRISE MON. FRONT 
MOVES SE OF AREA EARLY MON NIGHT.        

ATLC WATERS...
ATLC RIDGE FROM BERMUDA TO SE FL BLOCKING A FRONT OVER THE NW 
WATERS WITH SLY FLOW BETWEEN RIDGE AND FRONT AT 20 KT. AS RIDGE 
AXIS SHIFTS N TODAY IT WILL PUSH FRONT N OF AREA WITH SLY FLOW 
INCREASING TO 20-25 KT AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ENTERING AREA LATE 
FRI. THIS FRONT WILL REACH FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATE 
SAT WITH THE SEGMENT W OF 70W BECOMING STATIONARY SAT NIGHT AND 
LIFTING N SUN WITH THE NEXT FRONT OFF GA COAST SUNRISE MON. THIS 
FRONT STRONGER WITH SLY FLOW AT 25-30 KT...SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF 
MINIMAL GALE...AHEAD OF FRONT AND W 25-30 KT W OF FRONT. IF THIS 
TREND CONTINUES IN FUTURE MODEL RUNS...EXPECTED GALE CONDITIONS 
MAY BE ADDED TO TEXT AND GRAPHICS.    

CARIBBEAN...
SE WINDS OVER NW CARIBBEAN AT 20 KT WITH PULSES TO 25 KT AND 
SEAS TO 8 FT. CONDITIONS MAY DIMINISH SOME SAT NIGHT...BUT 
OVERALL DO NOT EXPECT MUCH CHANGE THROUGH 5 DAYS. REMAINDER OF 
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC TRADES AT 10-15 KT WITH 15-20 KT 
OVER WATERS S OF 15N WITH THE LOCALLY ENHANCED WINDS AND SEAS 
ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST. 

ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.