000 AGXX40 KNHC 150829 CCA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 430 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES IS BUILDING OVER THE TEXAS COAST...BEHIND A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM SE LOUISIANA TO THE WESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N96W. LIGHT TO MODERATE SE TO S FLOW PREVAILS E OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT REMAIN STATIONARY MOST OF TODAY UNDER SW FLOW ALOFT...AHEAD OF A PAIR OF SHORT TROUGHS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FRONT WILL SHIFT EAST AS THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY SHIFTS EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THE FRONT BECOMES ORIENTED MORE EAST TO WEST TUE...FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA E THROUGH THE MIDDLE GULF TO THE WESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE...WITH THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FRONT DIMINISHING. AFTER WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH OVER THE WESTERN GULF TODAY...GENERALLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED BOTH AHEAD AND BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. CARIBBEAN SEA... 1027 MB HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN CENTERED NEAR BERMUDA THROUGH MONDAY...AND MAINTAIN GENERALLY 15 TO 20 KT TRADES ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH MONDAY. SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW UP TO 25 KT STILL ACTIVE OFF THE COLOMBIAN COAST. A JASON ALTIMETER PASS FROM AROUND 23Z NOTED 5 TO 7 FT SEAS BETWEEN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND VENEZUELA. SEAS TO 9 FT ARE LIKELY IN THE VICINITY OF THE MONA AND ANEGADA PASSAGES...WHERE NE SWELL WITH PERIODS TO 12 SECOND CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE ATLC. WINDS TAPER OFF IN THE CARIBBEAN TUE THROUGH THU AS THE HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EAST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE SE U.S. COAST. IN ADDITION THE NE SWELL DAMPENS OUT...ALLOWING SEAS TO SUBSIDE. ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W... RECENT SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW A SWATH OF E TO SE WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 KT FROM NE OF THE LEEWARDS...THROUGH THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS...AND INTO SOUTH FLORIDA. THE WINDS ARE ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF 1027 MB SURFACE HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 31N63W. BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW NE SWELL UP TO 10 FT WITH PERIODS TO 12 SECONDS S OF 22N. THE RIDGE STAYS IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY...MAINTAINING THE FRESH TRADES. MOST OF THE LARGE NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE S OF THE 20N BY LATE MONDAY. CHANGE STARTS LATE MON AS A COLD FRONT DRIVEN BY SHORT WAVE ENERGY ALOFT PUSHES OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST MONDAY NIGHT...ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE LOW PRES FORMING OFF THE CAROLINAS. SW TO W WINDS BETWEEN N FLORIDA AND BERMUDA INCREASE BETWEEN THE DEVELOPING LOW AND THE HIGH PRES TO THE SOUTH. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE LOW DEEPENING AND MOVING TO THE NE OF BERMUDA BY TUE...WITH THE FRONT ENTERING THE WATERS S OF 31N. MAIN FORECAST ISSUE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SW WINDS N OF 28N E OF THE FRONT...AND FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW N OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N55W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY LATE TUE...AND FROM 28N55W TO THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS WED...BEFORE DISSIPATING THU. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.