000 AGXX40 KNHC 140606 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 155 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A WIDE BAND OF SE-S WINDS AT 15-20 KT EXTENDS FROM YUCATAN PASSAGE TO LA COASTAL PLAINS. THESE WINDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SOME TODAY AND TURN SW OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS IN RESPONSE TO COLD FRONT REACHING TX COAST AROUND NOON...ABOUT 6 HOURS FASTER THAN YESTERDAYS GUIDANCE. GUIDANCE ON STRENGTH OF NLY WINDS BEHIND FRONT SEEMS TO FLUCTUATE WITH 00Z RUNS A LITTLE STRONGER THAN 12Z MODEL RUNS. WILL GO WITH MAX OF 25 KT BEHIND FRONT AS CAA ADVECTION MINIMAL. ANYWAY...NRN SEGMENT OF CDFNT EXPECTED TO REACH FL BIG BEND SR TUE...BUT SRN SEGMENT HANGS UP OVER THE W CENTRAL WATERS EXTENDING S TO BAY OF CAMPECHE. ONLY GFS GUIDANCE HAS NOW SHIFTED LOW PRES DEVELOPMENT ALONG FRONT FROM BAY OF CAMPECHE TO FURTHER N OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS...WITH THE WEAK LOW DRIFTING W FROM WED TO FRI. WILL DECAY FRONT ON GRAPHICS WITH NO LOW PRES CENTER...AND DIMINISH WINDS BELOW 20 KT AT SS THU. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC... E WINDS 15-20 KT OVER W GULF OF HONDURAS. GUIDANCE IGNORING TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THAT AREA WED...SO I WILL CONTINUE MENTION THROUGH PERIOD. NORMAL NE-E WINDS ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 76W WILL MOVE W ABOUT 13 KT TO ALONG 82W MON AND MOVE THROUGH GULF OF HONDURAS TUE. A SECOND WAVE ALONG 65W HAS BEEN MOVING W AT ABOUT 16 KT AND SHOULD REACH PSN ALONG 73W MON...79W TUE...AND GULF OF HONDURAS WED. A THIRD WAVE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 46W HAS BEEN MOVING W AT 10 KT...IF THIS MOTION CONTINUES WAVE SHOULD REACH 55W TUE AND INTO E CARIBBEAN THU. A WAVE IN FAR E ATLC SEEMS TO BE TRACKING SLOWLY W AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN E OF AREA THROUGH PERIOD. SW N ATLC... THE LOW LEVEL TROUGH BELIEVED TO BE SOME OF THE REMNANTS OF JOSEPHINE...CONTINUES MOVING W OVER THE NW BAHAMAS BUT WINDS AND CONVECTION ARE BOTH DIMINISHING WITH ONLY A FEW SHOWERS NOTED GOING INTO G12 ECLIPSE. SO EXPECT LITTLE MARINE IMPACT EXCEPT A NE-SE WIND SHIFT. MODELS HAVE BEGUN TO SUGGEST A TROUGH MOVING INTO NE PORTION OF AREA WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE AMPLITUDE...THUS DENOTED A CDFNT ON GRAPHICS PRECEDED BY SW 20 KT...WITH THIS BOUNDARY STALLING BETWEEN 60-70W MON NIGHT INTO TUE...THEN DRIFTING BACK NW WED. MODELS ALSO SUGGEST THE CDFNT FROM EXTRATROPICAL IKE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE NE FL WED MORNING STALLING WED NIGHT ALONG 31N77W TO 27N80W. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.