000
AGXX40 KNHC 101702
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
110 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...
CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HURRICANE IKE CENTER NOW OVER 225 W SW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND 
MOVING W-NW 07 KT. IKE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS ALL GULF 
ZONES WITH HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND EXTREME 
HIGH SEAS. IKE WILL THEN MOVE INLAND ALONG SE TEXAS COAST LATE 
FRI NIGHT OR VERY EARLY SAT. IKE PRESENTLY A CATEGORY 1 
HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS UPPER ENVIRONMENT 
INDICATES A DECREASE IN WIND SHEAR AND MORE DIFFLUENT FLOW IN 
ADDITION TO WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. BY LATE FRI IKE COULD 
WELL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE CAT 3 JUST BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN 
TEXAS. WARNINGS ISSUED BY NHC ARE UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24/ 
MIATCMAT4 PROVIDE DETAIL INFORMATION ON TRACK AND INTENSITY OF 
IKE. A WEAK ATLC RIDGE WILL BUILD W FOLLOWING IKE WITH A SE FLOW 
OVER ERN HALF OF GULF SAT AND ENTIRE GULF SUN. 

SW N ATLC...
THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE...PRESENTLY IN GULF OF MEXICO WILL 
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODERATE WINDS STILL IN 
THE STRAIT OF FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WILL DIMINISH AS AN ATLC 
HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 30N BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA. THE RIDGE  
WILL KEEP A STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE E TO SE FLOW ACROSS MOST OF 
THE SW N ATLC THROUGH SUN. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL SHIFT WINDS S OF 
24N SLIGHTLY MORE NE BUT WIND SPEEDS AND SEAS REMAIN UNCHANGED. 

WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF JOSEPHINE...WILL APPROACH 65W 
S OF 25N THU AND SHIFT WINDS NE THU NIGHT AND FRI. WIND REMAIN 
LIGHT TO MODERATE WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE YUCATAN CHANNEL THIS AFTERNOON 
WILL END AS HURRICANE IKE MOVE W-NW AND AWAY FROM THE AREA 
...STRONG WINDS WILL STILL LINGER N OF 17N W OF 80W TONIGHT THEN 
DIMINISH TO MODERATE THU AND THU NIGHT FROM E TO W AS IKE 
APPROACHES THE NW GULF OF MEXICO. A HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL BUILD W 
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BY FRI WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND 
SEAS.  

WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 78W HAS A MODERATE SE FLOW WITHIN 120 
NM E OF AXIS. THE WAVES WILL SPREAD W AT 15 KT.

WARNINGS...
SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...TROPICAL STORM YUCATAN CHANNEL...AMZ082.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HURRICANE WARNING S OF 28N E OF 91W...GMZ080...GMZ082...GMZ084 
GMZ086.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.