000
AGXX40 KNHC 250619
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
120 AM EST MON FEB 25 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER ANTICYCLONE OVER THE NW 
CARIBBEAN DOMINATES THE DISCUSSION AREA S OF 22N. THIS 
ANTICYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT S REACHING NEAR 11N80W WED 
NIGHT AND THEN SHIFT E ALONG 11N TO OVER THE COLOMBIAN COAST FRI 
WITH A BROAD RIDGE CONTINUING ALOFT OVER AREA S OF 20N. A 
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS RACING E WITH AXIS N OF 25N ALONG 78W ATTM 
WITH UPPER WESTERLY FLOW DOMINATING DISCUSSION AREA N OF 22N. 
THIS SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE E OF BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON. UPSTREAM 
OVER CENTRAL CONUS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE IS WINDING UP AND WILL 
RACE E ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS LATE 
TODAY AND BE REINFORCE BY A SECONDARY SURGE TUE...WITH THE 
MERGED STRONG TROUGH OFF THE GEORGIA COAST WED NIGHT AND E OF 
BERMUDA FRI.

LOW LEVELS...
A FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 31N58W TO SE FLORIDA ATTM WILL MOVE SE TO 
PSN 31N55W 26N77W WITH SOME REMNANTS LIFTING N OVER E FLORIDA 
LATE TONIGHT. BY THEN THE NEXT COLD FRONT DRIFTING E OF OVER THE 
NW GULF OF MEXICO WILL GET A SECONDARY STRONG NW SURGE PUSHING 
IT E TO PSN 31N74W 25N80W 19N87W. NLY WINDS OVER THE SW GULF 
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A MINIMAL GALE TUE INTO TUE NIGHT 
DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN GALE BY SUNRISE WED. SLY FLOW AHEAD OF 
THIS FRONT OVER SW ATLC WILL INCREASE TO 25-30 KT BUT TO GALE 
JUST N OF 31N. THIS STRONG FRONT REACH FROM BERMUDA TO WINDWARD 
PASSAGE TO HONDURAS SUNRISE THU...AND 31N55W TO WINDWARD PASSAGE 
TO NICARAGUA SUNRISE FRI. BRISK ELY TRADES CONTINUE E OF FRONT 
OVER TROPICS.

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
GALE GMZ082 TUE INTO TUE NIGHT.

FORECASTER NELSON