000
AGXX40 KNHC 111655
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1200 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

CURRENTLY THE INITIAL FRONT IS DEFINED BY BROAD CLOUD BAND FROM 
31N60W SW ACROSS THE SE BAHAMAS AND NW CUBA TO THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA. THE ATLC RIDGE EXTENDS INTO AREA ALONG 25N TO NEAR 
65W.

GULF OF MEXICO...EASTERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 KT MOST OF THE GULF S 
OF 28N EXCEPT 20 25 KT STRAITS OF FL. GRADIENT RELAXES SOME
TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES S OVER ENTIRE GULF IN ADVANCE 
OF NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING OFF TX COAST TUE AFTERNOON. N WINDS 
20-25 KT EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT OVER W GULF BEHIND FRONT TUE AND TUE 
NIGHT DIMINISHING A SUNRISE WED. THIS FRONT MOVES SE OF AREA 
AROUND MIDNIGHT WED NIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW QUICKLY VEERING TO 
SE OVER THE NW WATERS...AND BY SUNSET THU E TO SE 15-20 KT ALL 
WATERS. NEXT COLD FRONT OFF TX COAST SUNSET FRI ACCOMPANIED BY 
WIND SHIFT TO N 25-35 KT MINIMAL GALE...WITH THE FRONT REACHING 
FROM MS DELTA TO BAY OF CAMPECHE SUNSET SAT AND NW FL TO YUCATAN 
PENINSULA SUNRISE SUN. 
   
ATLC...N WINDS 10-15 KT OVER WATERS N OF 27N W OF 73W...BUT 
STILL EXPECTING N SWELLS IN THE 8-13 FT RANGE...TO PROPAGATE 
INTO WATERS N OF 27N E OF 73W LATER TODAY WITH THIS SWELL AREA 
PASSING SE OF 55W ON WED NIGHT. THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL VEER 
QUICKLY TO S TUE NIGHT AND INCREASE TO MINIMAL GALE AT SUNRISE 
WED OVER WATERS N OF 29N AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING OFF GA COAST 
MIDDAY WED. FRONT REACHES FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS MIDDAY 
THU THEN STALLS FRI AND DRIFTS NW LOSING IDENTITY FRI NIGHT. S 
OF 27N THE GRADIENT SUPPORTING ENE WINDS 20-25 KT ATTM EXPECTED 
TO CONTINUE BECOMING SE TUE NIGHT AND S WED. WINDS QUICKLY TO 
SHIFT TO N-NE BEHIND FRONT BUT BACK OFF TO ABOUT 10-15 KT THU 
CLOCKING TO SE FRI AND SAT AS ATLC RIDGE BUILDS W ALONG 27N.
  
TROPICAL ATLC...EXPECT REMNANTS FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO DISSIPATE 
OVER NORTHERN WATERS TROPICAL ATLC ZONE TUE. E WINDS IN 15-20 KT 
RANGE SEAS 6-9 FT WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KT SEAS 8-13 FT TUE 
INTO SAT.

.CARIBBEAN...FLOW ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST AT 25-30 KT WITH MODELS 
NOT SHOWING ANY CONSISTENT CHANGE THROUGH EXTENDED PERIOD. 
ELSEWHERE BRISK E WINDS WILL THROUGH PERIOD EXCEPT DIMINISHING 
NW WATERS WED WITH WEAK FRONT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE WED... 
STALLING WED NIGHT AND LITTLE TRACE OF FRONT REMAINING THU NIGHT 
AS E TRADES RESUME.
  
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE. GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED AMZ080...N OF 29N E OF FRONT WED 
NIGHT AND WED NIGHT. 

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.  GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED GMZ080 AND GMZ082 BEHIND FRONT 
FRI. 

FORECASTER NELSON