000
AGXX40 KNHC 101803
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN FEB 10 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

CURRENTLY THE INITIAL FRONT IS DEFINED BY BROAD CLOUD BAND FROM 
31N70W SW ACROSS THE PROVIDENCE CHANNEL AND CAY SAL BANK...WITH 
SOME EVIDENCE OF BOUNDARY IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. A SECONDARY COLD 
SURGE RACING SE WILL SOON MERGE WITH INITIAL BOUNDARY EARLY 
TONIGHT.  RIDGE LIES SE OF INITIAL FRONT ALONG 26N. 

GULF OF MEXICO...WEAK RETURN FLOW TROUGH ANALYZED OVER SW WATERS 
WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT AS SE WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 15-20 
KT...EXCEPT 20-25 KT STRAITS OF FL. GRADIENT RELAXES SOME MON 
NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES S OVER ENTIRE GULF IN ADVANCE OF 
NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING OFF TX COAST TUE AFTERNOON. N WINDS 20-25 
KT EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT IN SW ZONE BEHIND FRONT. SECOND FRONT 
MOVES SE OF AREA EARLY WED NIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW QUICKLY 
VEERING TO SE OVER NW WATERS...AND BY SUNSET THU E TO SE 15-20 
KT ALL WATERS. NEXT COLD FRONT OFF TX COAST MID MORNING FRI 
ACCOMPANIED BY WIND SHIFT TO N 25-30 KT...WITH THE FRONT REACHING
FROM MS DELTA TO BAY OF CAMPECHE SUNRISE SAT.
     
ATLC...EXPECT SINGLE MERGED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO LIE ALONG 30N60W 
23N78W IN 24 HOURS AND ALONG 28N55W 24N65W IN 36 HOURS. WINDS 
ONLY 15-20 KT BEHIND THIS FRONT OVER THE WATERS N OF 27N BUT 
EXPECT LARGE N SWELLS...IN 10-15 FT RANGE...TO PROPAGATE INTO 
WATERS N OF 27N E OF 73W BEGINNING LATE MON...WITH THIS AREA OF 
SWELLS PASSING E OF 55W WED NIGHT. S OF 27N...THE GRADIENT WILL 
INCREASE TO NE 20-25 KT TONIGHT WITH WINDS GRADUALLY VEERING TO 
S TUE NIGHT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N AND W OF THIS MERGED FRONT...THE 
WINDS WILL QUICKLY VEER FROM NW 15 KT TONIGHT TO E 15 KT MON AND 
SE 20 KT MON NIGHT. ON TUE THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS CONSIDERABLY 
WITH SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SHIFTING TO A SOUTHERLY 25 TO 35 
KT MINIMAL GALE TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT AHEAD OF FRONT 
MOVING OFF GA COAST LATE WED AFTERNOON. FRONT REACHES FROM 
BERMUDA TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS THU THEN STALLS FRI AND DRIFTS NW FRI 
NIGHT. 

TROPICAL ATLC...N OF 20N E WINDS IN 15-20 KT RANGE SEAS 7-9 FT
WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KT SEAS 8-12 FT TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI.
S OF 20N...20-25 KT NE-E WINDS SEAS 8-11 FT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH 
TO 20 KT MON THEN INCREASE AGAIN TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI. 

.CARIBBEAN...FLOW ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST AT 25-30 KT WITH MODELS 
NOT SHOWING ANY CHANGE THROUGH PERIOD. ELSEWHERE BRISK E WINDS 
WILL THROUGH PERIOD EXCEPT DIMINISHING W OF 82W WED WITH WEAK 
FRONT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL WED AFTERNOON...STALLING WED NIGHT AND 
LITTLE TRACE OF FRONT REMAINING THU NIGHT AS E TRADES RESUME.
  
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE. GALE WARNING EXPECTED AMZ080...N OF 29N E OF FRONT TUE 
NIGHT INTO WED NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON