000
AGXX40 KNHC 071759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST THU FEB 7 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

ATLC RIDGE ALONG 28N SLIDE E AS COLD FRONT MOVES OFF N FLORIDA 
COAST.  STRONG SW WINDS N OF 28N AHEAD OF FRONT MOVE QUICKLY N 
OF AREA TONIGHT.  FRONT EXTEND FROM 31N75W TO 28N80W FRI AND  
BECOME DIFFUSE FRI NIGHT.  SECOND FRONT SWEEPS INTO AREA SAT 
EXTENDING FROM 30N65W TO SE BAHAMAS SUN AND E OF AREA LATE MON.
BROAD RIDGE REBUILDS N OF AREA TUE.  FORECAST FOLLOWS MODEL 
ENSEMBLE WHICH HAS HAD GOOD HANDLE ON SERIES OF COLD FRONTS 
COMING ACROSS AREA FOR LAST TWO WEEKS.  

STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS GULF OF MEXICO FROM 28N83W TO 20N91W 
DISSIPATE FRI NIGHT.  BROAD HIGH PRES MOVE ACROSS SE STATES WITH 
STRONG WINDS ACROSS ENTIRE GULF THROUGH MON AND DIMINISH TUE. 
GFS SLIGHTLY MORE AGGRESSIVE THAN OTHER MODELS ACROSS ENTIRE 
GULF WHILE NOGAPS AND NAM HAVE STRONG WINDS ONLY E OF 90W AND 
NAM IS OUT OF TIMING.  FORECAST TONES DOWN WRN GULF WINDS 
OTHERWISE REMAINS LOYAL TO GFS BASED ON ITS PERFORMANCE.   

ATLC RIDGE KEEPING BRISK E TRADES ACROSS CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT 
THEN DECREASE SUN AS STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO ATLC AND RIDGE 
MOVES EWD.

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES