000 AGXX40 KNHC 251745 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1250 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. .GULF OF MEXICO...A COLD FRONT OVER THE SE GULF WATERS SHOULD MOVE SE OF YUCATAN CHANNEL BY SUNSET TODAY BUT STILL EXTEND NW ACROSS BAY OF CAMPECHE INTO A FRONTAL WAVE LOW NEAR SE TX. EXPECT LOW TO MOVE NE TO NEAR MS DELTA AROUND NOON SAT WHILE TRAILING A TROUGH S TO BAY OF CAMPECHE. S COLD SURGE WILL PUSH THE LOW...LIKELY VERY WEAK LOW...E ACROSS FL ALONG 27N SUN NIGHT WITH THE TROUGH MODIFYING INTO A WEAK COLD FRONT AND MOVING S OF AREA SUN NIGHT. HIGH PRES BUILDS BRIEFLY SUN IN WAKE OF FRONT WITH RETURN FLOW BECOMING SE ALONG TX COAST SUN NIGHT SPREADING E ACROSS ALL WATERS BY SUNSET MON. LOOKS LIKE NEXT COLD FRONT OFF TX COAST AROUND NOON TUE. THIS FRONT STALLS DISSECTING GULF FROM NW FL TO SE TX SUNRISE WED THEN MOVES N AS WARM FRONT WED NIGHT. ATLC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM JUST S OF BERMUDA ACROSS CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO N CENTRAL CUBA WILL MOVE THROUGH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE SAT AND STALL ALONG 18N-20N SAT NIGHT AND LOSE IDENTITY THEREAFTER. N SWELLS TO 17 FT OVER THE NE WATERS TONIGHT WILL SUBSIDE TO ABOUT 10-11 FT AS THEY MOVE INTO N PORTION OF TROPICAL ATLC ZONE SUN...AND CONTINUE S BUT SUBSIDE TO MAX OF 8 FT WHILE MIXING WITH E SWELL AND ARRIVING TO COAST OF S AMERICA AROUND SUNRISE TUE. EXPECT MAX OF 7 FT TO PROPAGATE INTO CARIBBEAN THROUGH EXPOSED ATLC PASSAGES. A WEAK RETURN FLOW TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ALONG NE FL COAST TONIGHT MODIFYING TO A COLD FRONT SAT AFTERNOON. THIS NEXT FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NW BAHAMAS SUNRISE SUN AND REACH FROM BERMUDA TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUNSET SUN...AND THROUGH MONA PASSAGE SUNSET MON THEN WASH OUT OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS TROPICAL ATLC ZONE TUE NIGHT. THIS FRONT NOT AS STRONG AS LAST WEEKEND...BUT WILL RAISE SEAS TO ABOUT 7 FT IN N PORTION OF BAHAMA CHANNEL SUN NIGHT. STILL MENTIONING EXPECTED GALE CONDITIONS BEHIND THIS FRONT OVER NE WATERS...N OF 29N E OF 68W MON...BUT MODELS ARE NOT ALL IN AGREEMENT AND MENTION OF GALE MAY BE DROPPED LATER. SURFACE WINDS OVER NW ATLC WATERS WILL CLOCK AROUND TO SW LATE MON NIGHT AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT TUE WITH NEXT COLD FRONT OFF GA COAST SUNRISE WED BUT STALLING ALONG 31N W OF 70W WED NIGHT. CARIBBEAN...WINDS 25-30 KT ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST. BUILDING SEAS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS WIND MAX TO 14 FT AS NE SWELLS MOVE INTO SW COUNTER CURRENT. SEEMS LIKE LITTLE CHANGE INTO EARLY SUN THEN GRADIENT RELAXES A TAD...ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE OFTEN FLUCTUATES IN THIS AREA. NEXT FRONT NW CARIBBEAN SUN NIGHT DIMINISH MON NIGHT. ELSEWHERE NE-E TRADES 20-25 KT DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT SAT. WARNINGS... ATLC... NONE....MINIMAL GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 29N E OF 68W MON. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER NELSON