000
AGXX40 KNHC 141637
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

HIGH PRES BUILDING ALONG THE E COAST OF THE U.S. BEHIND A BACK DOOR 
COLD FRONT WILL TIGHTEN THE GRADIENT OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO 
LEADING TO INCREASING ELY WINDS...MOSTLY N OF 27N E OF 88W. BUOYS 
CURRENTLY INDICATING 15 KT WINDS IN THE AREA BUT AS THE RIDGE MOVES 
SWD WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT TONIGHT AND TUE. OTHERWISE WEAK 
PRES PATTERN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY LIGHT 
WINDS. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF LATE 
WED...AND THE WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT.

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY FROM 31N66W TO N FLORIDA WITH A TROUGH FROM 
29N65W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THE FRONT WILL MERGE WITH THE TROUGH 
FROM 25N65W 27N80W TONIGHT AND E OF THE AREA TUE. HIGH PRES BUILDS 
BEHIND THE FRONT WITH NE WINDS INCREASING TONIGHT AND TUE. AS THE 
RIDGE MOVES SWD THE STRONGER WINDS SHIFT S WED. TROUGH DEVELOPS FROM 
31N72W TO NORTHERN BAHAMAS LATE THU AND EXTENDS FROM 31N73W TO 
CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND FROM 31N68W TO SE BAHAMAS SAT. THE GFS AND 
NOGAPS DEVELOPS A LOW ALONG THE TROUGH LATE IN THE PERIOD.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN FROM 18N80W TO 9N77W. 
THIS TROUGH WILL DRIFT W TO ABOUT 84W THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY 
THROUGH THU AND DISSIPATE FRI. ATLC RIDGE REACHING SW TO THE LEEWARD 
ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE E WINDS NEAR 20 KT OVER THE SE AND 
S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRI.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS