000
AGXX40 KNHC 131826
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM EST WED DEC 13 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE SE U.S. WITH WINDS REMAINING
E AT AROUND 10 KT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND 10 TO 15 KT IN THE ATLC 
S OF 30N THROUGH THU. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST THU
NIGHT AND REACH NORTH FLORIDA SATURDAY THEN CONTINUE OVER THE ATLC 
AREA SUNDAY. THE SHORT WAVE WILL BE RATHER WEAK OVER THE GULF OF 
MEXICO BUT IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. THE SHORT 
WAVE WILL INDUCE A SURFACE TROUGH THAT WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER 
THE EAST GULF OF MEXICO THURSDAY WITH A WEAK LOW DEVELOPING OFF THE 
NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA BY LATE FRIDAY. THE LOW WILL TRACK SLOWLY 
EAST ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AREA ALONG 28N THROUGH SUNDAY. GFS MODEL 
HAS HAD SOME DIFFICULTY IN FORECASTING THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. THE 
CURRENT MODEL CONTINUES THE PREVIOUS TREND...AND DOES NOT INTENSIFY 
THE LOW VERY MUCH. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN 
SURFACE WINDS AS THE LOW DEVELOPS...BUT WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS OUT 
OF THE PICTURE. EXCEPT FOR DIURNAL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE STRENGTH OF 
THE TRADE WINDS NORTH OF THE COLUMBIAN COAST...NOT MUCH OUT OF THE 
ORDINARY IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE 
DOMINATES THE SUBTROPICAL REGION WITH TYPICAL TRADE WIND FLOW IN THE 
DEEP TROPICS.
  
WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER MUNDELL