000 AGXX40 KNHC 100637 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 138 AM FRI NOV 10 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... 1016 MB SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER NE GULF THIS MORNING...MOVING E AHEAD OF A TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS IS ALLOWING 15 TO 20 KT RETURN FLOW OVER THE WRN GULF...AND MAINTAINING FAIRLY LIGHT FLOW OVER THE ERN GULF. THE TROUGH TO THE N WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO THE NW GULF EARLY SAT MORNING...FOLLOWED BY MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NRN GULF WATERS TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY SAT NIGHT. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ON SUN...THEN LIFT TO THE N BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT SHIFTS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT OVER ERN CARIBBEAN AS HIGH PRES BUILDS TO THE N OF THE AREA. THIS IS RESULTING IN 20 KT ELY FLOW OFF THE VENEZUELAN COAST...WITH GENERALLY MODERATE E FLOW ELSEWHERE. AS THE RIDGE TO THE N STRENGTHENS...EXPECT WINDS OFF COLOMBIAN COAST TO INCREASE AS WELL THROUGH TODAY AND TOMORROW...THEN SUBSIDE SUN AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS IN RESPONSE TO THE NEXT FRONT PUSHING S. MEANWHILE...MODERATE E FLOW OVER TROPICAL N ATLC WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY AS WEAK TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE E. SW N ATLC... COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 28N65W TO ERN CUBA THIS MORNING. MODERATE TO FRESH WLY WINDS PERSIST BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT ARE SUBSIDING FROM W TO E AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF SHIFTS E TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN WINDS DROPPING OFF AND VEERING MORE NE AND E BY LATE TODAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRES MOVES TO OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. THE NEXT FRONT WILL EMERGE INTO OFF THE GEORGIA COAST BY LATE SAT/EARLY SUN...FOLLOWED BY INCREASED WLY WINDS. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR 31N72.5W TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS BY LATE SUN THEN SLOW AND EVENTUALLY STALL. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SUN INTO MON AS THE MAIN UPPER DYNAMICS LIFT OUT TO THE N. WARNINGS... ATLC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN