000 AGXX40 KNHC 061802 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EST MON NOV 6 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. UPPER LEVELS... RIDGE OVER THE AREA MORE OR LESS ALONG 20N IN THE ATLANTIC AND THE GREATER ANTILLES IN THE CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN MEXICO WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY. NORTH OF THE RIDGE WESTERLIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY. THE MAIN FEATURE, REALLY THE ONLY FEATURE, IS A STRONG SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY, THE TEXAS-OK RED RIVER NOT THE MINN-ND RED RIVER, TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. THROUGH WED NIGHT AND TO OVER THE ATLANTIC THURSDAY AND PASS EAST OF BERMUDA SATURDAY. THE SHORTWAVE IS STRONG IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS. SURFACE... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA OVER THE ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING STRONG EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST WITH THE STRONG SURFACE WINDS ALSO MOVING EAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. BUT BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL BE REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE BY DEVELOPING FRONTAL TROUGH ALONG THE EAST U.S. COAST AND FLORIDA WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER THE ATLANTIC AREA. THESE WINDS WILL MOSTLY BE NORTH OF 25N AND BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK BE BOTH AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE FRONT BUT CONTINUE TO BE ONLY OVER THE ATLANTIC. THE UNUSUAL ASPECT TO ALL THIS IS THE FRONT IS RATHER WEAK CONSIDERING THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE AND IN THE MODEL IT IS DUE TO A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT BUT I AM GOING TO HEDGE ON THE HIGH SIDE OF GUIDANCE CONSIDERING THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE. WARNINGS... ATLC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER LL