000
AGXX40 KNHC 160402
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM SUN OCT 15 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

DEEP LAYER HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH SWEEPS ACROSS SW N ATLC WITH 
VERY DRY AIRMASS COVERING MOST OF BASIN.  WEAK COLD FRONT 
CARRIES LITTLE CONVECTION AND BRISK N-NE WIND BEHIND BOUNDARY 
RISING SEAS TO NEAR 8 FT.  MOST OF FRONT SHOULD BE E OF 65W 
TONIGHT ABSORBING 1008 MB SURFACE LOW PRES THAT DEVELOPED JUST  
N OF PUERTO RICO.  LOW PRES WEAKENED CARIBBEAN BASIN GRADIENT 
EFFECTIVELY DROPPING WIND SPEEDS AND SEAS...BUT NOW LIKELY TO 
INCREASE AS LOW IS REMOVED FROM SCENE AND HIGH PRES REBUILDS 
OVER AREA.  NE CARIBBEAN ALREADY PICKING UP AS LOW PRES OVER WRN 
GULF OF MEXICO INTENSIFIES.  

GULF OF MEXICO IS MAIN PLATE IN FORECAST PACKAGE WITH STRONG 
1005 MB LOW PRES OVER WRN BAY OF CAMPECHE INTENSIFYING AND 
DRIFTING N CARRYING WARM FRONT ACROSS WRN GULF.  STRONG WINDS 
WITH GALE FORCE CONDITIONS LIKELY N OF WARM FRONT AND SEAS TO 12 
FT EXPECTED STARTING TONIGHT.  WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH LATE MON 
NIGHT OR TUE.
.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
GALE WARNING TONIGHT W OF 88W...GMZ080...GMZ082...GMZ084. 

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES