000
AGXX40 KNHC 221721
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM TUE AUG 22 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH LIGHT 
WINDS AND LOW SEAS. BUOYS CURRENTLY INDICATING 5 TO 10 KT WINDS 
AND SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. THE RIDGE MOVES S TO AROUND 25N BY LATE WED 
AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THE RIDGE 
WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE N OVER THE WEEKEND.

RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLC  ALONG 29N/30N WILL MOVE S TO AROUND 
25N/26N BY THE END OF THE WEEK THEN DRIFT BACK TO THE N SAT AND 
SUN. WINDS MOSTLY 10 KT OR LESS N OF 24N WITH ELY WINDS AROUND 
15 KT S OF 23N. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH SUN.

MODERATE TO STRONG TRADES CONTINUE IN THE CARIBBEAN GENERALLY S 
OF 17N E OF 80W. QUIKSCAT PASS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATES WINDS 
TO BE 20  TO 25 KT. A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL ATLC 
ZONE WED THEN INTO THE E CARIBBEAN THU. THE GFS TRIES TO SPIN UP 
A LOW AND TRACKS IT WWD. AS A RESULT THE MODEL INCREASES THE 
WINDS TO 30 KT. CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE HAS 20 TO 25 KT WINDS 
WITH THE WAVE AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE.

.WARNINGS...
ATLC...NONE.

CARIBBEAN...NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER DSG