000
AGXX40 KNHC 220711
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
310 AM TUE AUG 22 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK WESTERN EXTENT OF ATLC RIDGE EXTENDING WWD INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF IS MAINTAINING LIGHT WINDS WITH RELATIVELY LOW SEAS ACROSS 
THE AREA. THE NRN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO 
MOVE INTO THE SE GULF FRI AND SOUTH CENTRAL GULF SAT. WINDS WILL 
BE HIGHER MAINLY E OF THE WAVE NEAR THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. 
LITTLE CHANGE TO PRESENT WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS THROUGH SAT AS 
SUGGESTED BY NUMERICAL MODELS.

ACROSS THE SW N ATLC ZONE...RIDGE WILL HOLD ALONG ALONG 29N/30N 
THROUGH SAT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THE ELY TRADES AROUND 
15 KT S OF 23N...THEN INCREASING TO 20 KT BY THU AS THE NRN
PART OF TROPICAL WAVE BRUSHES THAT PORTION OF THE AREA. THESE 
WINDS WILL SHIFT WWD FRI AND SAT AND SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
ABOUT S OF 24N AS THE TROPICAL WAVE EXITS THE AREA AND THE RIDGE 
STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY.  

IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...ELY TRADES IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE ARE
OBSERVED IN THE SW ZONE...AND OVER THE ZONE PRIMARILY W OF 
70W AS SEEN IN QUIKSCAT DATA FROM NEAR 2230 UTC LAST NIGHT
AND ALSO RECENT OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA BUOY 42058 LOCATED NEAR 
15N75W IS INDICATE NE-E 20 KT WINDS. GFS MODEL RUN FROM
00Z LAST NIGHT INDICATES THAT THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE 
SOME BY WED...BUT ANOTHER SURGE OF STRONG TRADES (IN THE 20-25 KT
RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN AND NEAR SHOWERS AND TSTMS) WILL 
SPREAD WWD ACROSS THE NRN PART OF THE CARIBBEAN E OF 75W LATER 
TODAY TODAY THROUGH FRI DECREASING SAT AS A SERIES OF TROPICAL 
WAVES...WITH THE MORE SIGNIFICANT ONE NEAR 44W...MOVES THROUGH 
THE CARIBBEAN. THESE WIND CONDITIONS WILL FIRST BE SEEN ACROSS
THE TROPICAL N ATLC N OF ABOUT 15N TODAY THROUGH THU MORNING
...THEN DECREASE TO 10-15 KT LATER THU THROUGH SAT. EXPECT SEAS
TO BUILD TO 11 FT WITHIN THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG WIND AREAS
...SUBSIDING TO 8 FT BY SAT OVER THE NW PART OF THE E CARIBBEAN.

SAN JUAN THNKS FOR COORDINATING.. 

.WARNINGS...
ATLC...NONE.

CARIBBEAN...NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER AGUIRRE