000 AGXX40 KNHC 100458 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM MON JUL 10 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. A STRONG MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WAS LOCATED NEAR 33N59W TONIGHT WITH A SLIGHTLY WEAKER RIDGE OVER THE WRN GULF. IN BETWEEN A MID LEVEL TROUGH PERSISTED ALONG 80W WHERE THE WESTERLIES WERE STILL TRYING TO SEND WEAK IMPULSES SWD. ON THE SURFACE TONIGHT A 1028 MB HIGH WAS LOCATED NEAR 33N59W UNDER THE MID LEVEL CENTER. A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL FL AND TRPCL WAVES WERE ALONG 43W..63W AND 87W. THE ONLY ONE WORTH WATCHING WAS THE ONE AT 43W. LATER DAY 1 LITTLE CHANGE TO THE MID LEVEL PATTERN EXCEPT FOR THE TROUGHING ALONG 80W TO WEAKEN FURTHER. ON THE SURFACE THE STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATES WHILE THE ATLC RIDGE REMAINS STATIONARY. MODERATE TRADES S OF 24N E OF 80W WITH GULF WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT. FOR DAY 2 THE MID LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES MORE ELONGATED NE/SW W OF 50W WHILE A INVERTED TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE ERN GULF. ON THE SURFACE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE WIND PATTERN DAY 2 WITH THE ATLC RIDGE ABOUT THE SAME STRENGTH. OUTLOOK PERIOD... THE ELONGATED MID LEVEL RIDGE WORKS IT'S WAY WWD INTO THE SE US DAY 3 WHILE THE INVERTED TROUGH MOVES TO 90W. ON THE SURFACE THE ATLC RIDGE SHOWS SIGNS OF WEAKENING W OF 70W DAY 3 BUT ELY TRADES REMAIN BRISK OVER THE CARIB S OF 17N. GULF WINDS REMAIN LIGHT. BY DAY 4 THE MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER MOVES WWD TO 332N80W WHILE THE INVERTED TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY W TO 95W. WHILE THE MID LEVEL RIDGE MAINTAINS A PRESENCE EWD ALONG 30N..WEAK TROUGHING ALONG 55W S OF 28N PERSISTS. ON THE SURFACE THE ATLC RIDGE AXIS CONTINUES ALONG 30N BUT REMAINS WEAK W OF 70W EVEN WITH THE MID LEVEL CENTER SHIFTING W WHICH DOESN'T QUITE JIVE BUT THE GFS MODEL DOES HINT AT A WEAK CENTER OVER THE N GULF COAST DAY 4. OTHERWISE THE MODEL SHOWS THE MID ATLC WAVE MOVING INTO THE ERN CARIB ALONG 65W. DAY 5 FINDS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUING TO MOVE SLOWLY WWD OVER THE SRN US. OTHER MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER REMAIN ALONG 30N WHILE THE WEAKNESS ALONG 55W DECREASES. THE INVERTED TROUGH MOVES TO 98W AND INLAND. ON THE SURFACE THE ATLC RIDGE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN FURTHER W OF 60W WITH ELY TRADES DECREASING W OF 70W. THE ELY WAVE MOVES TO NEAR 70W WITH NO DEVELOPMENT ACCORDING TO THE GFS MODEL. GULF WINDS PICK UP SLIGHTLY OVER THE SE PORTION. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER RRG