000
AGXX40 KNHC 021709
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM FRI JUN 02 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK PRES GRADIENT OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES WITH LIGHT 
WINDS...10 KT OR LESS...ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. BUOYS ARE 
CURRENTLY REPORTING SEAS 2-3 FT W OF 92W AND 1-2 FT E OF 92W. 
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL 
APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS EVENING AND MOVE INTO THE 
NORTHERN GULF EARLY SAT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NE GULF 
AND SAT AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN THEN DISSIPATE SUN NIGHT. WEAK 
HIGH MOVES INTO THE N CENTRAL GULF TUE AND WED WITH LIGHT 
CONTINUING THE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

ATLC TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N66W TO 25N75W WILL DISSIPATE LATER 
TONIGHT AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED ROUGHLY 
ALONG 25N TONIGHT THROUGH MON. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW 
PORTION  OF THE ATLC SUN THEN DISSIPATE MON. SW WINDS AHEAD OF 
THE FRONT WILL INCREASE 15-20 KT SAT AND SUN OVER THE NW PORTION 
OF THE AREA THEN DECREASE MON. THE GFS AND THE CANADIAN MODELS 
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP A LOW IN THE CARIBBEAN THEN MOVE IT ACROSS 
CUBA AND INTO THE BAHAMAS TUE AND N OF THE AREA WED. THE NOGAPS 
AND UKMET DO NOT DEVELOP THIS LOW. SO WILL CONTINUE TO BROAD 
BRUSH THE FORECAST.

TRADES CONTINUE ON THE WEAK SIDE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN EXCEPT FOR 
THE TYPICAL 15-20 KT TRADES OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND E 
CARIBBEAN W OF 68W. EXPECT TRADES TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE 
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND E 
CARIBBEAN AND FURTHER ENHANCEMENT TO GRADIENT IF LOW PRES DOES 
DEVELOP OVER THE CARIBBEAN. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT 
FORECAST TRENDS DO TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE 
LOW.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS