000 AGXX40 KNHC 230637 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 235 AM TUE MAY 23 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. MAIN SURFACE FEATURE ACROSS THE AREA IS RIDGE THAT EXTENDS ALONG 27N IN THE ATLC AND THEN ACROSS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO. LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF DOES HAVE A WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION THAT HAS BEEN ANALYZED AS A TROUGH. THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FOR THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS..THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. THE UPPER LOW WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER THE GULF S OF ABOUT 27N E OF 92W. IT IS ALSO PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS THAT STRETCHES NE ACROSS FLORIDA. WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE ATLC WATERS WILL MOVE A LITTLE FARTHER SE TODAY...THEN WEAKEN AND PUSH SE OF THE AREA. LIGHT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NE BEHIND FRONT. RIDGE THEN REBUILDS ACROSS THE N PORTION OF THE AREA THU. RIDGE TO STRENGTHEN AND REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. WINDS 15 KT OR LESS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE ONLY EXCEPTION MAY BE SOME HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR TSTMS. LITTLE CHANGE IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS MAY INCREASE A LITTLE OVER THE W GULF AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS SAT. OVER THE ATLC...WINDS ARE ALSO FORECAST TO REMAIN 15 KT OR LESS THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. E-SE WINDS FORECAST S OF THE RIDGE WITH S-SW WINDS N OF THE RIDGE. HIGHEST WINDS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS. EVENING QUIKSCAT DATA DETECTED 20-25 KT WINDS IN THIS AREA. LITTLE CHANGE IS FORECAST IN THE AREAL COVERAGE AND IN THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS. NWW3 SEAS MAY BE A LITTLE LOW ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND MAY HAVE TO ADJUST UPWARD BY A COUPLE FEET. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE E CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC...MODERATE ELY TRADES FORECAST WITH LIGHTER WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER BROWN