000 AGXX40 KNHC 190559 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED APR 19 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. UPPER LEVEL... DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WELL N OF FORECAST WATERS HAS LONGWAVE TROUGH DIG S JUST E OF 65W AND INTO TROPICAL ATLC ALONG 58W. AIRMASS REMAIN VERY DRY IN SPITE OF THIN SWATH OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTED E-SE BY WEAK 80 KT JET JUST E OF NRN BAHAMAS. DRYNESS EXTEND INTO ENTIRE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC. BROAD RIDGE OVER GULF OF MEXICO EXTEND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH ENTIRE GULF ALTHOUGH UPSTREAM UPPER TROUGH AND WEAK COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL PLAINS BRINGING SOME MOISTURE ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS JUST E OF BIG BEND. CONVECTION TO BE EXPECTED WHEN COLD FRONT APPROACH TEXAS COASTLINE. AT THE SURFACE... COLD FRONT FROM NEAR 29N65W 27N75W 29N81W MOVE S AND WEAKEN LATE TODAY AS ASSOCIATED UPPER SUPPORT HEADS MORE NE. STRONG WINDS N OF 27N AHEAD OF FRONT QUICKLY LOSE ENERGY AND WEAK PRES GRADIENT BEHIND DOES NOT FORCE WINDS S OF 31N. WEAK COLD FRONT MOVE OFF SE U.S. COAST SUN AND EXTEND ACROSS FAR NW PART OF ATLC AREA LATE SUN. TRADES WEAKER THAN NORMAL THROUGH WED THEN STRENGTHEN THU THROUGH SAT WITH STRONG WINDS BY LATE SAT...UP TO 30 KT...ALONG N COAST OF COLOMBIA. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER WALLY BARNES