000 AGXX40 KNHC 050600 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED APR 05 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. UPPER LEVELS... TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE ATLANTIC AREA EXTENDS SOUTH OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST NORTHEAST AND EXIT THE CARIBBEAN AREA BY EARLY FRIDAY AND PASS EAST OF 60W DURING FRIDAY. STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE NORTHWEST GULF LATE FRIDAY AND WEAKEN AS IT PASSES NORTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY WITH A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF BY SUNDAY. OTHERWISE RIDGE IS OVER THE AREA. SURFACE... WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN WILL DECREASE TODAY TO LESS THAN 20 KNOTS. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BEGIN TODAY OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS RETURN FLOW WILL SPREAD EAST REACHING TO WEST OF 90W BY LATE TONIGHT. WINDS OF 20 KNOTS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN DURING THURSDAY. BY LATE SATURDAY MODERATE RETURN FLOW WILL BE OVER THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO AND ALSO BEGIN OVER THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE ATLANTIC AREA. COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OFF THE UPPER TEXAS COAST LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 KNOTS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO BAY OF CAMPECHE SATURDAY NIGHT AND WEAKEN. BY LATE SUNDAY A WEAK FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THROUGH 31N70W TO ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER LL