000
AGXX40 KNHC 231744
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM EST THU MAR 23 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

VERY ACTIVE PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND.  SEEMS 
MORE LIKE JANUARY THAN LATE MARCH.

STATIONARY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE FLORIDA 
KEYS W TO 25N94W THEN S INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. A RE-ENFORCING 
SURGE WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF THIS EVENING. STRONG HIGH PRES 
BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL PRODUCE STRONG TO GALE FORCE NLY WINDS.
BUOYS IN THE NW GULF ARE ALREADY INDICATING 25 TO 30 KT WINDS.
WILL CONTINUE CURRENT TRENDS AND KEEP GALE WARNING IN THE SW 
GULF TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY FRI MORNING. THE LOW THAT WAS 
SUPPOSED TO HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT TODAY HAS 
NOT DEVELOPED YET...HOWEVER THE MODELS HINT AT A WEAK LOW 
DEVELOPING NEAR 24N89W THIS EVENING...THEN MOVING NE INTO 
FLORIDA BY MORNING. WINDS DECREASE FROM W TO E SAT AS THE HIGH 
WEAKENS. SLY RETURN FLOW WINDS PICK UP OVER THE WESTERN GULF 
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS ATLC FROM 25N65W TO S 
FLORIDA. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND THE W PORTION WILL BE LIFTED 
NWD AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF AND MOVES EWD. WINDS 
ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AS LOW PRES MOVES ACROSS FLORIDA AND 
INTO THE W ATLC LATE TONIGHT TO NEAR 30N78W EARLY FRI. AS THE 
LOW MOVES TO THE NE IT WILL DRAG A STRONG COLD FRONT OF THE SE 
U.S. COAST EARLY FRI. EXPECT INCREASING WINDS OVER THE AREA LATE 
TONIGHT/FRI. THE LOW WILL MOVE ENE PASSING N OF BERMUDA SAT. THE 
TRAILING FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY E REACHING FROM 31N65W TO E 
CUBA SAT. THEN WEAKEN ACROSS THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA SUN AND 
MON. 20-30 KT WINDS EXPECTED AROUND THE W AND SW SIDE OF THE LOW 
MAINLY N OF ABOUT 27N FRI THROUGH SAT. WINDS TO REMAIN MODERATE 
TO LOCALLY STRONG OVER THE N PORTION OF THE AREA SUN THEN 
DECREASE MOST AREAS MON. HIGH PRES MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TUE 
WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WIND N OF 25N MODERATE ELY WINDS S OF 25N.

CARIBBEAN TRADES WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS ATLC RIDGE BREAKS 
DOWN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW/COLD FRONT. 20 KT WINDS WILL 
BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS ALONG THE COASTS OF 
VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA. WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN BECOME LIGHT 
AHEAD OF THE FRONT TONIGHT. FRONT TO ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN FRI 
WITH WINDS QUICKLY INCREASING TO 20-25 KT WINDS INTO THE YUCATAN 
CHANNEL. FRONT WEAKENS FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO HONDURAS OVER 
THE WEEKEND WITH WINDS SLOWLY DECREASING. TRADES ALONG THE COAST 
OF COLOMBIA CONTINUE AT 15-20 KT.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
GALE WARNING S OF 23N W OF 93W...GMZ082.

FORECASTER DGS