000
AGXX40 KNHC 201739
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 AM EST MON MAR 20 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

DEEP-LAYERED TROUGH ACROSS MID-WEST WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO 
NW GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL EXTEND FROM SW LOUISIANA TO THE N 
COAST OF MEXICO THIS EVENING. CURRENT BUOYS INDICATING STRONG SLY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF...WILL DECREASE SOME TONIGHT. THE FRONT 
MOVES TO FLORIDA PANHANDLE BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE AND FROM SW 
FLORIDA TO BAY OF CAMPECHE WED AND E OF THE AREA THU. STRONG NE 
WINDS N OF THE FRONT CONTINUE THROUGH WED AS HIGH PRES SETTLES 
ACROSS ERN STATES. REINFORCING SURGE THU WILL MAINTAIN THE 
STRONG N TO NE THU AND FRI...THEN DECREASING WINDS SAT AS THE 
HIGH MOVES S AND WEAKENS.

HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS THE ATLC...AND AS THE HIGH MOVES 
EWD TONIGHT SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 27N OF 
75W. THE WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT ACROSS THE N PORTION OF 
THE AREA TUE AND TUE NIGHT. THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE 
LATE TUE NIGHT OR EARLY WED MORNING WITH STRONG NW TO N WINDS 
BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS DECREASE FROM W TO E WED NIGHT AND THU 
BECOMING NE W OF 73W. THE GFS IS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPING 
THE LOW PRES OFF THE FLORIDA COAST FRI...AND NONE OF THE OTHER 
MODELS BRING WINDS TO GALE FORCE...SO WILL STICK WITH CURRENT 
FORECAST PACKAGE.

CARIBBEAN MAINTAINS STRONG EASTERLIES S OF 15N AND THE USUAL 
STRONGER WINDS AROUND COLOMBIAN COAST. STRONGER THAN NORMAL SE 
FLOW IN THE NW CARIBBEAN ACROSS YUCATAN...BUT THESE WINDS SHOULD 
DECREASE BY LATE WED. THE TRADES DECREASE LATE IN THE WEEK AND 
INTO SAT AS THE ATLC RIDGE MOVES E AND WEAKENS. A LATE SEASON 
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE FRI AND 
ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN SAT.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS