000 AGXX40 KNHC 190625 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 125 AM EST SUN MAR 19 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. ATLANTIC... OVERALL WINDS ARE RELATIVELY LIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE SW ATLC WATERS...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE A FEW WEAK/TROUGH BOUNDARIES LURKING ABOUT. THE TAIL END OF ONE COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 26N65W AND DISSIPATES FARTHER W SOMEWHERE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SMALL AREA OF NW 20-25 KT WINDS LIES N OF 27N E OF 67W BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY. A SECOND COLD FRONT APPEARS TO EXTEND ALONG 30N AND IS CONNECTED TO A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES N OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR 29N76W. ALL THIS FRONT WILL REALLY DO IS KEEP WINDS 20-25 KT OVER THE NE CORNER OF THE AREA WITH 8-11 FT NWLY SWELL. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THIS FRONT FROM THE CAROLINA COAST TO PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY...AND THEN THE WESTERN REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LIFT N AS A WARM FRONT OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST ON MON. SLY FLOW INCREASES S OF THE WARM FRONT TO 30 KT TUE MORNING WITH THE AREA EXPANDING QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE AREA LATER IN THE DAY. SEAS WILL BE ABLE TO BUILD TO 8-12 FT IN SWLY SWELL N OF 29N. COLD FRONT WILL FINALLY MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. COAST TUE EVENING/NIGHT WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO NWLY AND STAYING TO 30 KT UNTIL WED MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 20-25 KT THEREAFTER. CARIBBEAN... AREA OF 20+ KT WINDS HAS SHRUNK TO A RELATIVELY SMALL AREA S OF 13N BETWEEN 73W AND 78W AND HIGH RESOLUTION GRIDDED QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATES MAXIMUM WINDS CURRENTLY AROUND 26 KT. THIS IS LIKELY A BRIEF RESPITE DUE TO A BREAKDOWN OF THE ATLC RIDGE. HOWEVER...THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER THE W ATLC WATERS BY THIS EVENING AT WHICH POINT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TO 30 KT NEAR THE COLOMBIAN COAST. WINDS COULD DIMINISH AGAIN LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD (WED/THU?) AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE W ATLC AND WEAKENS THE RIDGE. OTHERWISE...WINDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA REMAIN LIGHT BUT ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 KT IN E/SE FLOW OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS OVER THE SRN U.S. PLAINS. COLD FRONT PRETTY MUCH MAKES IT TO FLORIDA KEYS AND NEAR N COAST OF YUCATAN PENINSULA BY WED BUT NEVER REALLY MOVES INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN BEFORE DISSIPATING. GULF OF MEXICO... STATIONARY FRONT IS CURRENTLY SET UP FROM JUST S OF HOUSTON TEXAS SE TO 27N89W. QUIKSCAT AND BUOY/C-MAN OBSERVATIONS INDICATE ELY WINDS 25-30 KT N OF THE BOUNDARY BUT THIS AREA IS PRIMARILY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS S OF THE BOUNDARY ARE SELY 15-20 KT WITH SEAS HAVING BUILT UP TO 6 FT OFF THE TEXAS COAST. THIS FLOW WILL INCREASE ON SUN AND MON TO 20-25 KT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE TEXAS COAST MON AFTERNOON. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT INITIALLY DIE OFF TO 15 KT BUT THEN INCREASE AGAIN TUE AFTERNOON TO NLY 20-25 KT AS RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE N. WINDS THEN VEER TO NE WED AND THU REMAINING NEAR 20 KT AND SEAS REBUILDING TO 7 OR 8 FT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER BERG