000
AGXX40 KNHC 080521
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 AM EDT FRI OCT 08 2004

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

LOW PRES IN THE SW GULF OF MEXICO CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 23N96W. 
THE LOW COMBINED WITH THE HIGH PRES ALONG THE E COAST OF THE 
U.S. IS PRODUCING ELY WINDS 20 TO 25 KT ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF 
AT THIS TIME. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO THE N WITH THE ETA BRINGING 
THE LOW INLAND OVER WESTERN LOUISIANA LATE SAT INTO SAT 
NIGHT...WHILE THE GFS STALLS THE LOW OFF THE LOUISIANA COAST FRI 
NIGHT THROUGH SUN. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE LOW COULD 
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AS THIS IS ONE OF THE 
FAVORABLE AREAS FOR DEVELOPMENT THIS TIME OF YEAR. EITHER WAY 
EXPECT STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH SUN.

THE HIGH PRES OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL START TO WEAKEN THROUGH 
THE DAY AND THE WINDS ACROSS THE W PORTION OF THE ATLC ZONE WILL 
DECREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 20 KT TODAY. TROUGH CURRENTLY E OF THE 
AREA WILL DRIFT W AND EXTEND FROM 30N65W TO 20N70W BY SAT AND 
SUN AND THEN MOVE E OF THE AREA BY LATE MON. WEAK HIGH PRES WILL 
THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA ON TUE WITH WINDS DECREASING TO 10 KT OR 
LESS.

WEAK TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
WILL NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN IMPACT ON THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL 
REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND THE TROPICAL ATLC THROUGH 
TUE.

WARNINGS...

ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE. 

$$
FORECASTER DGS