000
AGXX40 KNHC 151849
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
230 PM EDT WED SEP 15 2004

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.


WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE NEAR 18.1N 66.1W AT 1800 UTC.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE 
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABREERA SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA.  A 
HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE 
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE EXTENDED 
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST 
OF CABRERA TO PUERTO PLATA.  A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL 
STORM WARNING ALSO EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE 
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN 
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS 
AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.   
INTENSE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH JEANNE HAS BEEN AFFECTING 
PUERTO RICO DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS WHILE A WELL-DEFINED 
BAND TO THE EAST THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM GUADALOUPE NWD. 
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION 

HURRICANE IVAN NEAR NEAR 27.8N 88.2W  AT 1800 UTC.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO 
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY 
LOUISIANA TO WEST OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA 
TO YANKEETOWN FLORIDA. INTENSE CONVECTION IS NOW WITHIN 60-75 NM 
OVER THE N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OVER THE S 
SEMICIRCLE. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE AFFECTING THE N GULF COAST FROM 
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA WESTWARD TO THE SE TIP OF LOUISIANA. 
LATEST RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT HEAVY RAINS 
AND GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACCOMPANY THESE BANDS 
AND CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER FT