000
FZPN03 KNHC 220403
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT OCT 22 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ROSLYN NEAR 16.7N 105.6W 982 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N103W TO 
19N105W TO 18N106W TO 17N107W TO 16N106W TO 15N103W TO 
18N103W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N102W TO 20N106W TO 15N118W 
TO 14N132W TO 01N125W TO 05N89W TO 12N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ROSLYN NEAR 19.3N 106.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...75 NM
SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 21N105W TO 21N107W TO 19N108W TO 18N107W TO 18N106W TO 
19N104W TO 21N105W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N103W TO 22N107W 
TO 18N114W TO 09N116W TO 10N107W TO 16N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSLYN INLAND NEAR 24.4N 
104.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS...CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 27.5N 
101.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30N128W TO 27N137W TO 30N140W TO 21N140W TO 22N136W TO
30N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N128W TO 30N126W TO 30N140W TO 
16N140W TO 22N136W TO 27N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N140W TO 18N140W TO 
24N133W TO 27N122W TO 30N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 30N122W. 

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N114W TO 30N115W TO
30N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N124W TO 17N126W TO 15N132W TO
11N132W TO 08N129W TO 08N118W TO 12N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N128W TO 17N131W TO 15N131W TO 
12N129W TO 12N128W TO 17N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN W
TO NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SAT OCT 22...

.HURCN ROSLYN...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N TO 
21N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N93W...THEN RESUMES  
NEAR 11N111W TO 10N126W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 81W AND 93W...AND FROM 06N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 138W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.