000
FZPN03 KNHC 300901
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI SEP 30 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT  1.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT  2.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 15.9N 106.9W 999 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
30 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N106W TO 18N107W TO 16N108W TO 15N108W TO 
15N106W TO 16N105W TO 18N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 17.4N 107.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 18N106W TO 19N107W TO 19N108W TO 18N109W TO 16N108W TO 
17N106W TO 18N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
AREA WITHIN 18N105W TO 20N107W TO 20N109W TO 16N111W TO 15N107W 
TO 16N106W TO 18N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.3N 107.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N106W TO 
21N107W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 18N108W TO 18N106W TO 20N106W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 
19N105W TO 23N107W TO 20N112W TO 16N111W TO 15N109W TO 17N106W TO
19N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 21.8N 106.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.8N 
106.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 
35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 
14N97W TO 10N97W TO 12N94W TO 16N93W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 11N96W TO
12N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N96W TO 13N97W TO 11N97W TO 09N96W TO 11N94W 
TO 15N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 13N96W TO
13N95W TO 14N93W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S110W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S107W TO 02S110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S107W TO 00N115W TO 01S120W TO 
03.4S120W TO 03S103W TO 01S107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0850 UTC FRI SEP 30...

.T.S. ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
12N TO 18N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 12N91W TO 15N99W. IT RESUMES FROM 
14N110W TO 13N121W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 
09N E OF 85W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 84W AND 97W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 
140W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.