000 FZPN03 KNHC 161620 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SAT JUL 16 2022 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 14.0N 103.7W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 16 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N99W TO 10N104W TO 14N105W TO 18N103W TO 17N100W TO 11N99W S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 14.6N 104.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 15.3N 106.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N103W TO 10N106W TO 14N109W TO 18N108W TO 17N100W TO 10N103W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 16.7N 110.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N110W TO 15N113W TO 19N112W TO 20N109W TO 17N107W TO 14N110W SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N102W TO 09N114W TO 17N115W TO 22N110W TO 18N102W TO 15N102W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.8N 115.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N 120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.2N 124.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 29N120W TO 28N121W TO 28N123W TO 30N124W TO 30N120W TO 29N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N123.5W TO 29N125.5W TO 30N127W TO 30N122W TO 29N123.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N124W TO 29N125W TO 29N126W TO 30N126W TO 30N122W TO 29N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. .WITHIN 03.4S86W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N135W TO 09N129W TO 02N110W TO 03.4S86W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N132W TO 11N124W TO 11N107W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S81W TO 03.4S120W TO 10N115W TO 10N103W TO 02N83W TO 03.4S81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N138W TO 13N139W TO 12N140W TO 21N140W TO 20N139W TO 17N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N137W TO 11N140W TO 22N140W TO 21N136W TO 19N135W TO 13N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N139W TO 13N140W TO 20N140W TO 20N139W TO 18N138W TO 14N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1550 UTC SAT JUL 16... .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 09N84W TO 12N95W AND THEN RESUMES FROM 11N110W TO 10N120W TO 09N130W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N131W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 03N E OF 90W...FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W. $$ .FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.