000
FZPN03 KNHC 111555
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 11 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 14.6N 123.4W 965 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 11 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...105 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
15N120W TO 14N122W TO 14N124W TO 16N124W TO 17N122W TO 15N120W 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
12N121W TO 12N124W TO 14N124W TO 14N122W TO 15N120W TO 12N121W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 14.8N 128.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADII OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 14N126W TO 14N128W TO 15N129W TO 17N127W TO 16N125W TO 
14N126W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 12N126W TO 11N129W TO 15N131W TO 18N129W TO 16N124W TO 
12N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.4N 133.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM IN W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N131W TO 15N134W TO 16N135W TO 
18N134W TO 18N130W TO 15N131W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N129W TO 12N134W TO 18N137W TO 
20N134W TO 18N130W TO 16N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 16.7N 138.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 17.5N 143.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DARBY NEAR 17.3N 
149.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 18N139W TO 18N140W TO 24N140W TO 24N139W TO 22N136W TO 
18N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03.4S104W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 01S113W TO 02S105W
TO 03.4S104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S88W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N120W TO 
01S104W TO 02S89W TO 03.4S88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S102W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 
00N115W TO 01S106W TO 03.4S102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
S TO SW SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N93W TO 03N94W TO 03N95W TO 06N96W TO
06N93W TO 04N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N92W TO 03N95W TO 05N95W TO 07N94W TO
07N92W TO 04N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON JUL 11...

HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN
100 NM OF CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 10N97W TO 10N112W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 08N130W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 11N BETWEEN 78W AND 95W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.