000
FZPN03 KNHC 300951
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON SEP 30 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA NEAR 21.5N 106.4W 1001 MB AT 0900 UTC 
SEP 30 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 21N E 
OF 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 23.2N 107.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 25.1N 109.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 11 FT. WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT OVER FORECAST WATERS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA NEAR 28.0N 111.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA INLAND NEAR 30.0N 
112.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH NARDA...FROM 11N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 115W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 91W AND 106W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W...AND FROM 08.5N 
TO 14.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N132W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
08.5N TO 17N W OF 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N129W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W...AND FROM 08N 
TO 12N BETWEEN 136W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N125W 1007 MB. FROM 15N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 124W AND 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
FROM 11N TO 14N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. FROM 20N TO 24N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.N OF 27.5N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW TO 
N SWELL. FROM 24N TO 27N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN NE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 26N W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 23N TO 27N E OF 116W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27.5N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 80W AND 86W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01.5N TO 05N BETWEEN 80W AND 88W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01.5N TO 05N BETWEEN 80W AND 95W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 00N TO 06N 
BETWEEN 80W AND 96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 02N TO 08N BETWEEN 82W AND 100W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON SEP 30...

.T.D. NARDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCTTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 13.5N 
BETWEEN 96W AND 104W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 09N74W TO 08N85W TO 
14N91W...THEN RESUMES W OF TROPICAL CYCLONE NARDA FROM 14N108W 
TO 15N128W TO BEYOND 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W, AND 
FROM 08N TO 13N W OF 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.