000
FZPN03 KNHC 131544
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 13 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 120.6W 1005 MB AT 1500 
UTC SEP 13 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.3N 
123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM 
NW AND 180 NM SS SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.3N 125.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 125.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 125.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.2N 101.7W 1006 MB AT 1500 
UTC SEP 13 MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF LINE FROM 01N80W TO 17N101W TO 
17N110W TO 08N119W TO 03.4S112W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS 
ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 17.0N 
100.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 13 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL SIXTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 17.0N 
98.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. CONDITIONS 
OVER WATER DESCRIBED BELOW.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH THE TWO TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS ABOVE...FROM 
06N TO 15N BETWEEN 104W AND 124W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 01N80W TO 18N101W TO 
18N110W TO 08N119W TO 03.4S112W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS 
ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN 
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...FROM 11N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 122W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 
FT. ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 03.4S90W TO 17N100W TO 21N108W TO 
15N116W TO 03.4S113W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 
22N109W TO 13N100W TO 11N118W TO 22N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. S OF LINE FROM 03.4S90W 
TO 03N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC WED SEP 13...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW AND W QUADRANTS.

.LOW PRES 15N111W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM E 
QUADRANT.     

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE 
TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM W AND 120 NM E SEMICIRCLES.

.LOW PRES 11N136W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S 
AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N76W TO 10N81W TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.2N 101.7W TO LOW PRES 15N111W TO TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION 15-E AT 14.9N 120.6W TO 10.5N128W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
10.5N136W TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
05N TO 09N E OF 86W...AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 270 NM S 
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 88W AND 113W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N AND 120 NM S 
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 122W AND 138W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.