000
FZPN03 KNHC 142115
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 10.7N 119.7W 960 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 14 
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 240 NM 
NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.3N 123.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 12.5N 128.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW AND 
210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 420 NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.9N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.4N 136.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.5N 139.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 01.5N TO 09N BETWEEN 100W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SOUTHERLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 00N TO 09N BETWEEN 108W AND 118W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SOUTHERLY SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 14.5N95.5W TO 13.5N98W NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC FRI JUL 14...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 50 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74W TO 11N96W TO 11.5N108W TO 
09N112W...WHERE IT BREAKS FROM FERNANDA...THEN RESUMES FROM 
10N124W TO 11N129W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 03.5N TO 10N E OF 86W...AND FROM 09N TO 19N 
BETWEEN 91W AND 104W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.