000
FZPN03 KNHC 160236
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.7N 123.8W 998 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
16 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM N AND 105 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.4N 127.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 45 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND
75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.3N 132.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N AND 30 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM N AND 45
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 19.3N 137.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 142.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ORLENE NEAR 20.5N
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM
SE QUADRANT OF LOW SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15N108W 1004 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW SE TO S WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC FRI SEP 16...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES NEAR 12N106W TO
10N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF
AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.