000
FZPN03 KNHC 151603
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.1N 122.0W 985 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 15
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 125.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 123W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20
TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN 132W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.6N 135.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.2N 140.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 21.0N 143.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 18N136W TO 20N139W TO 20N140W TO 17N140W
TO 15N137W TO 15N135W TO 18N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06N93W TO 06N93W TO 06N96W TO 05N95W TO
05N95W TO 05N93W TO 06N93W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N103W TO 09N103W TO 08N106W TO 07N110W
TO 06N107W TO 07N104W TO 08N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N96W TO 11N102W TO
11N105W TO 08N111W TO 07N107W TO 08N102W TO 09N96W SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N102W TO 10N102W TO
10N103W TO 09N105W TO 08N108W TO 08N103W TO 09N102W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N123W TO 10N127W TO
09N128W TO 08N127W TO 08N123W TO 09N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU SEP 15...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM
OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W N OF 08N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N
TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N85W TO 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 12N105W
TO 10N130W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.