000
FZPN03 KNHC 112121
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 16.3N 117.7W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
11 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE AND 30 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...75 NM SE...45 NM SW AND 60 NM
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 150
NM OF CENTER AND WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE FROM 15N115W TO 09N115W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 17.9N 119.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 330 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.1N 119.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 120.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.0N 124.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.0N 129.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN SEP 11...

.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 08N ALONG 83W...ISOLATED MODERATE AND 
STRONG OVER COSTA RICA.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 06N ALONG 97W...ISOLATED MODERATE AND 
STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 11N93W TO 12N108W. ITCZ FROM 
14N135W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE FROM 05N78W TO 13N107W. ISOLATED MODERATE
AND STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 10N120W TO 15N131W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.