000
FZPN03 KNHC 110900
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 14.8N 115.9W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
11 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 70 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM N QUADRANT AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 16.8N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 17.6N 120.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 18.2N 120.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA FROM 13N TO 22N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.1N 120.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.1N 123.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 18.8N 127.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO
15N95.5W TO 14.5N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.33 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN SEP 11...

.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM E QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 12N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N83W TO 10N96W TO 11N107W THEN
RESUMES FROM NEAR 11N124W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 02N
E OF 80W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA...AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM S
OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 106W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.