000
FZPN03 KNHC 202151
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC SAT AUG 20 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 22.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 20.3N 113.1W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 20
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM
SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.3N 114.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.3N 117.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY NEAR 23.5N 120.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.5N
122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.5N
125.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 02S120W TO 02S110W TO
03.4S106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 04N120W TO 06N112W TO 02S104W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC SAT AUG 20...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SW QUADRANT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE QUADRANT...WITHIN
180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 108W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 09N99W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N109W
1011 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 120 NM S
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 106W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE
AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 180 NM
N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 109W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.