000
FZPN03 KNHC 191051 RRA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI AUG 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 18.4N 110.9W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 19
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 50 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180
NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 20.0N 111.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY NEAR 21.0N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR CENTER. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 21.7N
113.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 22.5N
114.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.0N
117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 126W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 138W/139W S OF 18N. FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN
137W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 140W S OF 18N. WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 01S W OF 96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC FRI AUG 19...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W S OF 17N...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE FROM 13N TO
17N.

.SCATTERED STRONG FROM 20N TO 22N E OF 109W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 08N98W...AND
ALONG 14N114W TO 13N122W TO 10N132W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 116W AND
130W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 105W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 06N E OF 80W AND
N OF 07N BETWEEN 79W AND 84W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 93W
AND 94W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.