000
FZPN03 KNHC 051526
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI AUG 5 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 07.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 15.1N 130.8W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
05 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 16.1N 134.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE...50 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 17.5N 137.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE...50 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE W OF AREA NEAR 18.6N
140.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 18.8N
143.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 18.5N
148.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 23N TO 26N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI AUG 5...

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. 

.CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 16N
BETWEEN 93W AND 101W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N106W TO 10N116W TO 12N127W. ITCZ FROM
12N133W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS
BETWEEN 111W AND 122W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.