000
FZPN03 KNHC 031515
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 3 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 14.6N 120.4W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
03 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE...30 NM
SE...0 NM SW AND 40 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 15.2N 125.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N AND 30 S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND
90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 15.6N 130.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE...70 NM SE...60 NM SW AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES
WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 120 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 16.5N 135.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 18.0N 138.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 19.0N 141.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 21.1N 133.8W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
03 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE...60 NM
SE...0 NM SW AND 50 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM NE...60 NM SE...90 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150
NM SE AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER AREA FROM 17N TO 25N BETWEEN 128W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.1N
138.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM N AND 75 NM
SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
AREA FROM 18N TO 28N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD W OF AREA
NEAR 22.6N 144.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD W OF AREA
NEAR 22.6N 149.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.0N
154.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W
AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED AUG 3...

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120
NM OF 14N121W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
12N TO 15N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W.

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N102W TO 12N113W...AND FROM
11N122W TO 08N132W. ITCZ FROM 12N136W TO BEYOND 12N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 83W
AND 93W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.