000
FZPN03 KNHC 022114
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E NEAR 13.3N 115.7W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC
AUG 02 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TEN-E NEAR 14.5N 121.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...120 NM
NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 15.5N 127.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 16.1N 132.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 16.9N 136.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 18.0N 140.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 19.3N 130.2W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
02 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...120 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 21.0N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 60 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E AND
180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 22.1N 140.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 21N TO 27N W OF
136W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF
18N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HOWARD NEAR 22.5N 146.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.5N
151.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.0N
156.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W
AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN
94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC TUE AUG 02...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN
126W AND 131W. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 12N110W TO
10N123W...THEN RESUMES AT 13N129W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF A LINE
FROM 05N79W TO 09N99W TO 14N107W AND FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN
119W AND 139W.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.